The Truth About the Real Estate Bubble

One of the reasons people shy away from real estate is the fear of a potential real estate ‘bubble.’ These same people buy stocks, knowing the volatility of them, and say, ‘Buy stocks and hold on to them for the long-term.’ We do not believe the ‘bubble’ theory in real estate has any merit. Even if there was a ‘bubble,’ we would consider it a great buying opportunity and we would market that much harder!Don’t get us wrong. There are times when the real estate market may ‘cool off,’ and property doesn’t appreciate in one year as much as it did in a previous year. There may be certain areas where prices even flatten out, but this is a far cry from a ‘bubble.’ Also, there are certain markets that witness extremely high appreciation for a number of years, such as Las Vegas or San Francisco, and may actually experience a small decline because they simply can’t keep up with the pace. But unlike the stock market, you can’t base what may happen in real estate on a national scale just by evaluating a few local economies. Whereas stocks are based on the national (or even the world) economy, the real estate market is based on local (or even micro-local) economies. There really isn’t a ‘national’ real estate market where one can predict what will happen across the board.The term ‘bubble’ traditionally implies an artificially inflated valuation that is likely to ‘burst,’ such as the bubble we experienced in 2000-2001. Before the ‘pop,’ those stock prices weren’t based on intrinsic value, but on mere speculation of future potential values.Real estate will always have inherent value because someone can live in it. Would you move if your neighborhood went down 10% in value? Probably not. But compare that to the stock market where millions of investors can sell off their stocks in moments by clicking their mouse.So while it is possible that a local real estate market can reach a peak and flatten out, this doesn’t mean it is collapsing, which is what the media tends to portray. Maybe the real estate values in your city have appreciated 20% or so for the past few years, but this year it is projected at only 10%. We are led to believe that the bottom is falling out, even though 10% is still great! In this scenario, we see headlines stating, ‘Average Real Estate Prices Falling,’ and we question the validity of real estate investing. We can’t give in to those manipulative and deceptive tactics!Buy real estate and rest in the fact that you won’t lose, if you buy it correctly. Your real estate will be around five, ten, and thirty years from now. Will that company you invested in be around in that period of time? Maybe – maybe not. With the numerous recent corporate failures and buy-outs, the chances are fairly large your company will no longer exist.The bottom line with real estate, however, is that the market has little impact on your wealth-building plan.I call you blessed!Billy O’Neal

“Time” Is A Major Real Estate Wealth Growth Tool, So Use ‘IT’ And Watch

In this report I use figures from my area of the world … I know they don’t apply all over the world, but they should encourage you to get the figures for yourself.After all no report is going to make your money grow … it’s the knowledge you gain and “Your Application Of The Knowledge” that makes your financial wealth Grow.In another report I gave you a concept I borrowed from Phil Ruthven, a truly wonderful speaker on economics, on how he looks at Home Ownership.Now I want to look at the Tools we have available to help us Grow!real estate wealth,So folks, if you want Real Estate Development, you must use all the tools available to you to get some. Of all the tools you have, the single most important one is TIME.real estate wealth,1. Time is your greatest friend. Time to buy good investment property and let it double in value every 8 to 10 years or better.real estate wealth,2. Federal Government Real Estate Investment Tax Deductions are another tool the Government uses to tell you in Words, Dollars and Cents that they want you to get wealthy so you can look after yourself to your final days. real estate wealth,3. Correct Financial tools are also vital to your wealth development. See my report of Finance. I will go into some further detail in this section on the use of Evergreen Lines of Credit and how they work.4. Good Real Estate Management is the next tool. Well-managed and well-maintained real estate investments, that houses good quality tenants is also essential. Trying to do this work yourself, is a mistake. See my report on Property Management. real estate wealth,In Australia, it has been instilled in our consciousness, that we must all own our own home. And there is nothing wrong with the concept. It’s just that we should have been told to rent it out; Don’t live in it.By buying a house TO LIVE IN, while we are young, we are wasting the wealth creating tools of Time, Double Income, (if married) Property Income and Tax Deductions. No wonder so many people have to play catch up later in life. real estate wealth,So the first clue to Real Estate Wealth Development is don’t buy a residential property for you and you partner to live in. You buy a house as an investment and you rent elsewhere.Growth Tool No. 1 – TimeTime is your greatest friend. Real Estate is a long-term investment and by being loyal to it, the real estate will reward you handsomely all through your life. real estate wealth,You can prove this to yourself, as I did, by getting the figures of average house sale prices, from the Australian Bureau of Statistics for Brisbane, the largest City in Australia.To save you the trouble I got the figures and I painstakingly went through them in order to validate the old wives tale that, ” real estate doubles every seven years.”Well, it does better than that, you’ll be pleased to know.I was able to get the figures from 1973/74 to 1994/95. I think I started there because that was when I arrived in Brisbane on transfer from Melbourne. real estate wealth,That is a twenty-two years period, during which we had several credit squeezes, a few recessions and a few good times as well.In 1973/74 an average house price for the whole of Brisbane was $23,234.00. That average includes the best and worst house and suburb.Seven years later, in 1980/81, it was $43,470.00 an increase of 87%.However by the next year, the eight-year, it had risen to $56,757.00 giving an increase of 144% from 1973/74. So you see that it more than doubles by the eight year. real estate wealth,Going on a further seven years from 80/81 to 87/88, the $43,470.00 went up to $83,679.00; a further 92%.Interestingly, going on one more year to the eight year, it had again increased to $113,917.00 giving an increase of 162% from 1980/81.A further seven years from 87/88 to 94/95, the price of the average house in Brisbane went up to $163,325.00; a further 95% increase.
real estate wealth,Unfortunately the Bureau amalgamated the Shires of Logan and Caboolture into this statistical base and I could not extract the figure for the eight year.However on the evidence of the previous 22 years I believe it is safe to assume
the increase would be at least 5% making it an increase of 100%. real estate wealth,So these figures prove that over a period of 22 years the asset has increased by seven times its original value and all you would have to do is buy it at the beginning.I hope this gives you some idea of why TIME is so important to growth. And remember that I am talking about average prices, I am not talking about hot inner suburbs that will obviously do much better.If you REALLY understand these figures; you should ask yourself why you are willing to miss out on buying good real estate by stopping negotiating for the sake a few hundred or a few thousand dollars. I’ve seen this done many times because of stubborn-ness. Crazy! real estate wealth,For goodness sake it’s the Real Estate Asset that is in short supply; not money. If you have found real estate that fits your criteria; BUY IT!The Real Estate Development CoachCopyright Colm Dillon, October 2003All Rights Reserved.